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2012/06/28

Dear our customers please dont trust us!!!!

It happened the thing I afraided. In my last post I expressed my concerns on one of Russia's policies on arms export. To give an image like betray it's allies by breaking existing arm delivery deals alleged under pressure from the west.

There were news in mass media yesterday claiming Russia has decided not to deliver S 300 air defence missles to Syria. And recently it has paused the delivery of Yak 130 trainer fighters to Damascus. It was signed a deal about those well capable missiles with Syria but now Russia had to decide to break it by western pressure. I dont know if it s connected with Vladimir Putin's recent Israel visit or not. Russia did the same thing about S 300s to Iran before.

Let us accept, Russian weapons are worse than American counterparts in all respects. And only some 3. rd World countries which have problems at the relations with the USA have to prefer Russian weapons. But how can they trust deals with Russia now? If America can interfere their arms deals with Russia, it may cause Russia not only to loose billions of dollars but also to loose it's allies. To refuse them by American demand is pushing loyal allies to the west.


Eggs from chickens or chicks from eggs?

Russia is destroying it's reliability itself with this policy and it s dangerous politically and economically. Everybody needs trustfull friends. And no doubt every country needs allies. Since Soviet era, Russia has lost most of former allies. All eastern European countries prefered the west. Because the power of the west attracted them. They prefered to be the stronger one's side. And synchronized, Russia's military, economic, politic and industrial power and influence had been decreasing constantly till recent 10 years. It s not coincidence them to be synchronous. There is an interactive relation between the circumstances. If the remaining allies can not trust Russia, be sure they will leave it too soon. Actually the process has started. To see please click here If you leave them alone, they will not be able to survive and disappeare. And you will have left alone yourself in fact. You will loose all remaining strategic fortresses. When you will need help one day, I am afraid it may be your turn to loose.

More Russian influence, more hope.

It is observed that international community finally accepted they should make cooperation with Russia. Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Russia visits Washington, Russian flotilla consist of ships from Black Sea and Arctic fleets ongoing to Syria. Turkish P.M. Tayyip Erdogan will visit V.Putin in Moscow in 18. th of July. And efforts for Russia to take part in the crisis more effectively accelerates the gope for a sollution. It already reflected to Annan's last optimistic speech.

Alternative scenario for delivery ban.

Perhaps Russia just saw Assad would go in any case, current regime will have to resign or step down, and has adapted it's Syria policy to those oncomings. Not to deliver arms for some millions of Dollars not to loose possible future orders from the new regime for billions. And plus not to take a risk to loose Tartus naval military base in the new era. In this respect, it s remarkable Russian announcement came just after Lavrov's meeting Syrian opposition leaders. We even should pay attention perhaps Russia does not want to have been equipped opposition with advanced systems reluctantly by an early delivery actually to Assad.

Last moment event.

http://en.rian.ru/mlitary_news/20120713/174592437.html

2 comments:

  1. May be some Russian weapons are not as good as claimed and Russia doesn't want the whole world to be aware of that. So they won't sell S-300 to countries where it could be fired ..... and never reach any target. S-300 can be sell to Greece, to the Vatican, to Monaco without any risk.

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  2. Like Bulava s? I saw a comment about them months ago that Bulava missiles are very dangerous but for Russia not the enemies.

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